WhatIfSports Bowl Simulations
December 13, 2011, 11:33 PM
WhatIfSports computer simulates every FBS game 10,001 times and displays the results with winners in bold. Through Week 14, WhatIfSports is 74.5% (579-198)! Here are some recent statistics from the simulations from the past two seasons.
| 2010 |
| Winning Percentage: |
75.5% (584-190) |
| Top 25 Winning Percentage: |
80.6% (220-53) |
| Game of the Week: |
11-5 |
| ATS Lock of the Week: |
10-4 |
| Upset of the Week: |
6-7 |
|
| 2009 |
| Winning Percentage: |
74.5% |
| Top 25 Winning Percentage: |
80.5% |
| Game of the Week: |
10-4 |
| ATS Lock of the Week: |
9-4 |
| Upset of the Week: |
6-8 |
|
This week's results are in rank order from the most confident to the least based on the percentage chance the team in bold wins. Listed are the results for bowl games, including the average score from the simulation and chance the team wins on the far right.
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| Visitor | Score | Home | Confidence |
| TCU |
37 |
- |
23 |
Louisiana Tech |
85% |
| Western Michigan |
22 |
- |
33 |
Purdue |
84% |
| Arizona State |
24 |
- |
37 |
Boise State |
79% |
| Kansas State |
26 |
- |
35 |
Arkansas |
77% |
| Southern Methodist |
20 |
- |
30 |
Pittsburgh |
75% |
| Texas A&M |
31 |
- |
25 |
Northwestern |
70% |
| Missouri |
26 |
- |
22 |
North Carolina |
69% |
| Washington |
29 |
- |
35 |
Baylor |
68% |
| Ohio |
29 |
- |
23 |
Utah State |
67% |
| Mississippi State |
26 |
- |
22 |
Wake Forest |
67% |
| Temple |
29 |
- |
24 |
Wyoming |
65% |
| Ohio State |
16 |
- |
21 |
Florida |
65% |
| Illinois |
24 |
- |
28 |
UCLA |
64% |
| San Diego State |
31 |
- |
25 |
Louisiana-Lafayette |
63% |
| Toledo |
28 |
- |
25 |
Air Force |
63% |
| Florida State |
26 |
- |
21 |
Notre Dame |
62% |
| Iowa |
24 |
- |
28 |
Oklahoma |
62% |
| Virginia |
23 |
- |
26 |
Auburn |
61% |
| Arkansas State |
27 |
- |
33 |
Northern Illinois |
60% |
| Alabama |
22 |
- |
26 |
LSU |
60% |
| Nevada |
28 |
- |
33 |
Southern Miss |
59% |
| California |
20 |
- |
23 |
Texas |
59% |
| Rutgers |
23 |
- |
25 |
Iowa State |
58% |
| Cincinnati |
25 |
- |
23 |
Vanderbilt |
58% |
| West Virginia |
28 |
- |
26 |
Clemson |
58% |
| Michigan State |
29 |
- |
27 |
Georgia |
57% |
| Nebraska |
21 |
- |
23 |
South Carolina |
56% |
| BYU |
33 |
- |
32 |
Tulsa |
55% |
| Georgia Tech |
25 |
- |
22 |
Utah |
55% |
| Houston |
30 |
- |
29 |
Penn State |
55% |
| Louisville |
26 |
- |
23 |
North Carolina St. |
54% |
| Michigan |
26 |
- |
25 |
Virginia Tech |
54% |
| Wisconsin |
33 |
- |
31 |
Oregon |
53% |
| Florida International |
26 |
- |
25 |
Marshall |
52% |
| Stanford |
35 |
- |
34 |
Oklahoma State |
51% |
Source: WhatIfSports.com