Sagarin Predictor: Feb 22

Jeff Sagarin is an American sports statistician well-known for his development of a methodology for ranking and rating sports teams in a variety of sports. His ratings have been a regular feature in the USA Today sports section since 1985, have been used by the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee to help determine the participants in the NCAA Men's Division I Basketball Championship tournament since 1984, and have been a part of the Bowl Championship Series since its inception in 1998.

Listed below are the model's projected margins using pure points (predictor) method for each Division I college basketball game on Feb. 22. Favorites are on the left with projected margin of victory on the far right.

Favorite		Underdog		Margin
Iowa St.	defeats	Texas Tech	by	17.98
Northern Iowa	defeats	Bradley	by	16.68
Syracuse	defeats	South Florida	by	16.44
Drexel	defeats	James Madison	by	15.13
Vanderbilt	defeats	South Carolina	by	14.61
Memphis	defeats	East Carolina	by	14.40
Marquette	defeats	Rutgers	by	13.82
Delaware	defeats	Towson	by	13.58
UNLV	defeats	Boise St.	by	13.45
Eastern Michigan	defeats	Northern Illinois	by	13.26
Kansas	defeats	Texas A&M	by	12.96
Marshall	defeats	Houston	by	12.56
Purdue	defeats	Nebraska	by	11.88
St. Bonaventure	defeats	Fordham	by	9.69
SW Missouri St.	defeats	Indiana St.	by	9.67
VA Commonwealth	defeats	NC Wilmington	by	9.58
Long Beach St.	defeats	UC Santa Barbara	by	9.43
Drake	defeats	Southern Illinois	by	8.57
Akron	defeats	Bowling Green	by	8.35
Michigan St.	defeats	Minnesota	by	8.09
St. Joseph's PA	defeats	Richmond	by	7.67
Wichita St.	defeats	Illinois St.	by	7.40
LSU	defeats	Georgia	by	6.91
Toledo	defeats	Central Michigan	by	6.28
NC Charlotte	defeats	George Washington	by	5.92
Tennessee	defeats	Mississippi	by	5.81
Georgia St.	defeats	Old Dominion	by	5.04
Appalachian St.	defeats	Citadel	by	4.97
Hofstra	defeats	William & Mary	by	4.46
Western Michigan	defeats	Ball St.	by	3.85
San Diego St.	defeats	Wyoming	by	3.78
George Mason	defeats	Northeastern	by	3.73
Oklahoma	defeats	Oklahoma St.	by	2.97
Buffalo	defeats	Ohio	by	2.77
Air Force	defeats	TCU	by	2.31
Southern Miss	defeats	UTEP	by	2.26
Tulane	defeats	SMU	by	1.86
Central Florida	defeats	Rice	by	1.74
Notre Dame	defeats	West Virginia	by	1.29
Duquesne	defeats	Dayton	by	0.88
La Salle	defeats	Temple	by	0.76
Cal Riverside	defeats	CS Northridge	by	0.22

Source: USAToday.com

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